Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 47.999335 53.993396 60.242816 67.227376 74.798163 82.739231 91.680941
2024-10-20 38.159836 46.820937 56.417233 67.759996 80.720609 94.988998 111.803623
2024-10-27 31.383120 41.052893 52.248358 66.009498 82.305268 100.825655 123.297343
2024-11-03 28.516979 39.292294 52.213693 68.588025 88.513045 111.702552 140.447854
2024-11-10 25.733676 37.209858 51.422070 69.931929 93.001965 120.410422 155.012266
2024-11-17 22.857370 34.655972 49.731409 69.883790 95.570742 126.673265 166.597793
2024-11-24 21.488843 33.909442 50.198292 72.442087 101.312288 136.801678 182.958610
2024-12-01 19.319489 31.844258 48.737572 72.334791 103.546791 142.519650 193.892623
2024-12-08 17.153065 29.566706 46.793978 71.406890 104.573899 146.622168 202.770443
2024-12-15 15.557490 27.961256 45.633908 71.406418 106.720626 152.098896 213.386781
2024-12-22 14.145950 26.495526 44.548963 71.401158 108.782652 157.430254 223.834182
2024-12-29 13.650883 26.398462 45.404508 74.098557 114.520979 167.623430 240.677195
2025-01-05 12.650557 25.440975 44.972415 74.991753 117.880878 174.851608 253.947285
2025-01-12 11.653120 24.401795 44.350790 75.569168 120.801547 181.546202 266.641885
2025-01-19 10.188990 22.422307 42.140816 73.670015 120.116044 183.294771 272.728205
2025-01-26 9.896603 22.457111 43.072905 76.467236 126.149395 194.244319 291.229955
2025-02-02 9.346383 21.974762 43.136843 77.924272 130.257711 202.597039 306.333413
2025-02-09 8.547711 20.955260 42.256855 77.872090 132.134875 207.864705 317.301370
2025-02-16 8.337183 21.031028 43.183824 80.644225 138.200323 219.036084 336.441748
2025-02-23 7.632747 20.075471 42.311385 80.528001 139.952480 224.161958 347.338367
2025-03-02 6.846264 18.870295 40.930089 79.522742 140.313394 227.290061 355.481725
2025-03-09 6.284992 18.068937 40.199161 79.522231 142.163481 232.533293 366.594582
2025-03-16 5.770062 17.309603 39.491864 79.516531 143.979182 237.727152 377.675661